UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Saturday, July 6, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Weidman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Weidman 69%31% Silva
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -291(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Weidman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Weidman)
FeatherweightMISS
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edgar 49%51% Oliveira
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +396(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Oliveira)
MiddleweightMISS
Tim Kennedy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kennedy 43%57% Gracie
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gracie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gracie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gracie)
MiddleweightMISS
Mark Munoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munoz 49%51% Boetsch
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Munoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Boetsch)
FeatherweightHIT
Cub Swanson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Swanson 54%46% Siver
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Swanson)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Andrew Craig won by Decision - Split (R3)
Craig 57%43% Leben
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +23(favors Craig)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Leben)
LightweightHIT
Norman Parke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parke 58%42% Tokudome
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +4(favors Parke)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Parke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Parke)
HeavyweightHIT
Gabriel Gonzaga won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gonzaga 63%37% Herman
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +295(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Gonzaga)
LightweightHIT
Edson Barboza won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barboza 70%30% Oliveira
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +351(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Oliveira)
Early Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Brian Melancon won by KO/TKO (R1)
Melancon 20%80% Baczynski
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -336(favors Baczynski)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Baczynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Baczynski)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Pierce won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pierce 66%34% Mitchell
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +453(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Pierce)