UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
Saturday, June 15, 2013·Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Rashad Evans won by Decision - Split (R3)
Evans 62%38% Henderson
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Evans)
Heavyweight✓
Stipe Miocic won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miocic 77%23% Nelson
STRONG
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -265(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Miocic)
Light Heavyweight✓
Ryan Jimmo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jimmo 52%48% Pokrajac
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +57(favors Jimmo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Pokrajac)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Pokrajac)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Alexis Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 58%42% Sexton
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sexton)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sexton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sexton)
Heavyweight✓
Shawn Jordan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jordan 69%31% Barry
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +141(favors Jordan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Jordan)
Welterweight✗
Jake Shields won by Decision - Split (R3)
Shields 33%67% Woodley
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Shields)
→Striking volume advantage: -21.8(favors Woodley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Shields)
Lightweight✓
James Krause won by Submission (R3)
Krause 62%38% Stout
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -126(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Stout)
Welterweight✓
Sean Pierson won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Pierson 63%37% Robertson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +151(favors Pierson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Pierson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Robertson)
Bantamweight✓
Roland Delorme won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Delorme 52%48% Figueroa
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +307(favors Delorme)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Delorme)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Delorme)
Lightweight✗
Mitch Clarke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clarke 35%65% Maguire
LEAN
→Elo gap: -216(favors Maguire)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Maguire)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Maguire)
Bantamweight✓
Yves Jabouin won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jabouin 59%41% Pague
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +130(favors Jabouin)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Jabouin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Jabouin)