UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Saturday, November 2, 2024·Edmonton, Alberta, Canada·13 fights
Model: 7/13(54%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Brandon Moreno won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Moreno 63%37% Albazi
Over/UnderOver 70%
Under 30%Over 70%
LEANMarket: 61% (+2.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +181(favors Moreno)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Moreno)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Albazi)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Erin Blanchfield won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Blanchfield 53%47% Namajunas
Over/UnderOver 72%
Under 28%Over 72%
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-5.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -66(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Blanchfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Namajunas)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Brendson Ribeiro won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ribeiro 39%61% Machado
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 38% (+0.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -129(favors Machado)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Machado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Ribeiro)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Jasmine Jasudavicius won by Submission (R3)
Jasudavicius 65%35% Silva
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (-2.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +41(favors Jasudavicius)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Jasudavicius)
MiddleweightMISS
Dustin Stoltzfus won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stoltzfus 38%62% Barriault
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 31% (+7.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -236(favors Barriault)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Barriault)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Stoltzfus)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Malott won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Malott 70%30% Giles
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-5.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +343(favors Malott)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Giles)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Malott)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Aiemann Zahabi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zahabi 70%30% Munhoz
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Zahabi)
BantamweightMISS
Charles Jourdain won by Submission (R2)
Jourdain 46%54% Henry
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -313(favors Henry)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Henry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Jourdain)
FeatherweightMISS
Youssef Zalal won by Submission (R2)
Zalal 42%58% Shore
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -130(favors Shore)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Shore)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Zalal)
HeavyweightHIT
Alexandr Romanov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Romanov 54%46% Nascimento
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +88(favors Romanov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Nascimento)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Romanov)
BantamweightMISS
Serhiy Sidey won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sidey 44%56% Armfield
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -119(favors Armfield)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Armfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Armfield)
BantamweightHIT
Cody Gibson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gibson 62%38% Anheliger
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -88(favors Anheliger)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Gibson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Anheliger)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Jamey-Lyn Horth won by Decision - Split (R3)
Horth 44%56% Petrovic
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +116(favors Horth)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Horth)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Petrovic)