UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi
Saturday, April 6, 2013·Stockholm, Sweden
Model Record: 6/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Gegard Mousasi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mousasi 55%45% Latifi
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Latifi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Latifi)
Lightweight✓
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearson 70%30% Couture
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +211(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Pearson)
Heavyweight✓
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mitrione 61%39% Fries
LEAN
→Elo gap: +211(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Fries)
Bantamweight✗
Brad Pickett won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pickett 41%59% Easton
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Easton)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Pickett)
Featherweight✓
Diego Brandao won by Submission (R1)
Brandao 68%32% Garza
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Brandao)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Garza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Brandao)
Featherweight✗
Akira Corassani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Corassani 42%58% Peralta
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -69(favors Peralta)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Peralta)
Lightweight✗
Reza Madadi won by Submission (R3)
Madadi 45%55% Johnson
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -209(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Madadi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Madadi)
Middleweight✗
Tor Troeng won by Submission (R1)
Troeng 41%59% Cella
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cella)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cella)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cella)
Welterweight✗
Adlan Amagov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Amagov 45%55% Spang
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Spang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Spang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Spang)
Featherweight✓
Conor McGregor won by KO/TKO (R1)
McGregor 53%47% Brimage
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -219(favors Brimage)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Brimage)
Welterweight✗
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 35%65% Alloway
LEAN
→Elo gap: -128(favors Alloway)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Alloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alloway)
Middleweight✓
Tom Lawlor won by Submission (R2)
Lawlor 61%39% Kuiper
LEAN
→Elo gap: +8(favors Lawlor)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Kuiper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Lawlor)
Welterweight✗
Papy Abedi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Abedi 47%53% Yousef
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -40(favors Yousef)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Yousef)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Abedi)