UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi
Saturday, April 6, 2013·Stockholm, Sweden·13 fights
Model: 9/13(69%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Gegard Mousasi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mousasi 56%44% Latifi
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Latifi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Latifi)
LightweightHIT
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearson 70%30% Couture
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +254(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Pearson)
HeavyweightHIT
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mitrione 69%31% Fries
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +333(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Fries)
BantamweightMISS
Brad Pickett won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pickett 39%61% Easton
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Easton)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Pickett)
FeatherweightHIT
Diego Brandao won by Submission (R1)
Brandao 70%30% Garza
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +171(favors Brandao)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Garza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Brandao)
FeatherweightHIT
Akira Corassani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Corassani 52%48% Peralta
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Peralta)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Peralta)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Reza Madadi won by Submission (R3)
Madadi 52%48% Johnson
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -281(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Madadi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Madadi)
MiddleweightHIT
Tor Troeng won by Submission (R1)
Troeng 51%49% Cella
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cella)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cella)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cella)
WelterweightMISS
Adlan Amagov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Amagov 46%54% Spang
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Spang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Spang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Spang)
FeatherweightHIT
Conor McGregor won by KO/TKO (R1)
McGregor 59%41% Brimage
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -310(favors Brimage)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Brimage)
WelterweightMISS
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 38%62% Alloway
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -191(favors Alloway)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Alloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alloway)
MiddleweightHIT
Tom Lawlor won by Submission (R2)
Lawlor 65%35% Kuiper
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -59(favors Kuiper)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Kuiper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Lawlor)
WelterweightMISS
Papy Abedi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Abedi 47%53% Yousef
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -58(favors Yousef)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Yousef)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Abedi)