UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Saturday, March 16, 2013·Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
St-Pierre 81%19% Diaz
STRONG
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +587(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors St-Pierre)
Welterweight✓
Johny Hendricks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hendricks 69%31% Condit
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Hendricks)
Welterweight✓
Jake Ellenberger won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ellenberger 62%38% Marquardt
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Ellenberger)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Ellenberger)
Middleweight✓
Chris Camozzi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Camozzi 60%40% Ring
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Ring)
Lightweight✓
Mike Ricci won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ricci 55%45% Fletcher
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Fletcher)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Fletcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fletcher)
Welterweight✗
Patrick Cote won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cote 46%54% Voelker
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -94(favors Voelker)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Cote)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Cote)
Featherweight✓
Darren Elkins won by KO/TKO (R1)
Elkins 63%37% Carvalho
LEAN
→Elo gap: +161(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Carvalho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Elkins)
Welterweight✗
Jordan Mein won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mein 43%57% Miller
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -129(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Miller)
Lightweight✓
John Makdessi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makdessi 50%50% Cruickshank
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Cruickshank)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Cruickshank)
Welterweight✓
Rick Story won by KO/TKO (R1)
Story 82%18% Mulhern
STRONG
→Elo gap: +211(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Story)
Bantamweight✓
TJ Dillashaw won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dillashaw 75%25% Tamura
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +160(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Dillashaw)
Bantamweight✗
George Roop won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Roop 47%53% Duran
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -122(favors Duran)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Duran)