UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Saturday, February 23, 2013·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Bantamweight✓
Ronda Rousey won by Submission (R1)
Rousey 55%45% Carmouche
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Carmouche)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Carmouche)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Carmouche)
Light Heavyweight✓
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Split (R3)
Machida 69%31% Henderson
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Henderson)
Bantamweight✗
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R1)
Faber 48%52% Menjivar
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -138(favors Menjivar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Menjivar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Faber)
Welterweight✓
Court McGee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McGee 72%28% Neer
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +105(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors McGee)
Welterweight✗
Robbie Lawler won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lawler 48%52% Koscheck
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -581(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Lawler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Lawler)
Heavyweight✗
Brendan Schaub won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Schaub 49%51% Johnson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -199(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Schaub)
Lightweight✓
Michael Chiesa won by Submission (R2)
Chiesa 66%34% Kuivanen
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +136(favors Chiesa)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Chiesa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Chiesa)
Featherweight✓
Dennis Bermudez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Bermudez 59%41% Grice
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +246(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Bermudez)
Lightweight✓
Sam Stout won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stout 62%38% Fodor
LEAN
→Elo gap: +71(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Stout)
Welterweight✓
Kenny Robertson won by Submission (R1)
Robertson 53%47% Jardine
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -60(favors Jardine)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jardine)
Welterweight✓
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 53%47% Manley
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Manley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Manley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Manley)
Welterweight✗
Nah-Shon Burrell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burrell 45%55% Villefort
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Villefort)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Villefort)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villefort)