UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Saturday, February 23, 2013·Anaheim, California, USA·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ronda Rousey won by Submission (R1)
Rousey 54%46% Carmouche
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Carmouche)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Carmouche)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Carmouche)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Split (R3)
Machida 69%31% Henderson
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Henderson)
BantamweightMISS
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R1)
Faber 42%58% Menjivar
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -167(favors Menjivar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Menjivar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Faber)
WelterweightHIT
Court McGee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McGee 65%35% Neer
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +81(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors McGee)
WelterweightHIT
Robbie Lawler won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lawler 55%45% Koscheck
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -640(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Lawler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Lawler)
Prelims
HeavyweightHIT
Brendan Schaub won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Schaub 51%49% Johnson
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -156(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Schaub)
LightweightHIT
Michael Chiesa won by Submission (R2)
Chiesa 70%30% Kuivanen
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +210(favors Chiesa)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Chiesa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Chiesa)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Bermudez 56%44% Grice
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +310(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Bermudez)
LightweightHIT
Sam Stout won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stout 70%30% Fodor
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +168(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Stout)
Early Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Kenny Robertson won by Submission (R1)
Robertson 63%37% Jardine
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -71(favors Jardine)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jardine)
WelterweightMISS
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 49%51% Manley
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Manley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Manley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Manley)
WelterweightMISS
Nah-Shon Burrell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burrell 46%54% Villefort
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Villefort)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Villefort)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villefort)