UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Saturday, January 19, 2013·Sao Paulo, Brazil
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R2)
Belfort 53%47% Bisping
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +57(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Bisping)
Middleweight✓
CB Dollaway won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dollaway 54%46% Sarafian
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Dollaway)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Dollaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Dollaway)
Heavyweight✗
Gabriel Gonzaga won by Submission (R2)
Gonzaga 49%51% Rothwell
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -6(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Gonzaga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Rothwell)
Lightweight✓
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nurmagomedov 65%35% Tavares
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Tavares)
Featherweight✓
Godofredo Pepey won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pepey 65%35% Vieira
LEAN
→Elo gap: -87(favors Vieira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Pepey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Vieira)
Middleweight✓
Ronny Markes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Markes 57%43% Craig
LEAN
→Elo gap: -59(favors Craig)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Markes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Markes)
Featherweight✗
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 50%50% Nunes
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +16(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Lentz)
Lightweight✓
Edson Barboza won by KO/TKO (R1)
Barboza 52%48% Martins
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +143(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Barboza)
Bantamweight
Alcantara 65%35% Nobre
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +46(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Alcantara)
Light Heavyweight✗
Ildemar Alcantara won by Submission (R2)
Alcantara 50%50% Prado
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +27(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Prado)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prado)
Lightweight✓
Francisco Trinaldo won by Submission (R2)
Trinaldo 58%42% Keith
LEAN
→Elo gap: +209(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Keith)