UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Saturday, August 11, 2012·Denver, Colorado, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Benson Henderson won by Decision - Split (R5)
Henderson 58%42% Edgar
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -47(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Henderson)
Lightweight✓
Donald Cerrone won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cerrone 65%35% Guillard
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +135(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Guillard)
Middleweight
Shields 43%57% Herman
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +186(favors Shields)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Herman)
Middleweight✓
Yushin Okami won by KO/TKO (R2)
Okami 68%32% Roberts
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +201(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Okami)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Okami)
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R2)
Holloway 63%37% Lawrence
LEAN
→Elo gap: -98(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Lawrence)
Featherweight✓
Dennis Bermudez won by Submission (R1)
Bermudez 73%27% Hayden
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +135(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Hayden)
Middleweight✓
Michael Kuiper won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kuiper 60%40% Hamman
LEAN
→Elo gap: -20(favors Hamman)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Hamman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Hamman)
Bantamweight✓
Erik Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 61%39% Stone
LEAN
→Elo gap: +55(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Stone)
Bantamweight✗
Chico Camus won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Camus 41%59% Pague
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Camus)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Pague)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Pague)
Featherweight✓
Nik Lentz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lentz 77%23% Mitsuoka
STRONG
→Elo gap: +196(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Mitsuoka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mitsuoka)