UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Friday, March 2, 2012·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Martin Kampmann won by Submission (R3)
Kampmann 55%45% Alves
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -189(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Kampmann)
Flyweight✓
Joseph Benavidez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Benavidez 87%13% Urushitani
STRONG
→Elo gap: +148(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Benavidez)
Flyweight
Johnson 61%39% McCall
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Johnson)
Middleweight✗
Constantinos Philippou won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Philippou 43%57% McGee
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors McGee)
Light Heavyweight✓
James Te Huna won by KO/TKO (R1)
Huna 71%29% Rosa
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +130(favors Huna)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors Huna)
Light Heavyweight✓
Anthony Perosh won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perosh 75%25% Penner
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +103(favors Perosh)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Perosh)
Featherweight✓
Steven Siler won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Siler 58%42% Miller
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Siler)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Miller)
Middleweight✗
Andrew Craig won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Craig 40%60% Noke
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -144(favors Noke)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Noke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Noke)
Welterweight✓
TJ Waldburger won by Submission (R1)
Waldburger 61%39% Hecht
LEAN
→Elo gap: -65(favors Hecht)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Hecht)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.6(favors Waldburger)
Featherweight✓
Daniel Pineda won by Submission (R1)
Pineda 52%48% Semerzier
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Semerzier)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.9(favors Pineda)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.3(favors Pineda)
Heavyweight✓
Shawn Jordan won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jordan 54%46% Thompson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Thompson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Thompson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Thompson)