UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Saturday, January 14, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Jose Aldo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aldo 50%50% Mendes
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +148(favors Aldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Mendes)
MiddleweightHIT
Vitor Belfort won by Submission (R1)
Belfort 55%45% Johnson
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +25(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Johnson)
MiddleweightHIT
Rousimar Palhares won by Submission (R1)
Palhares 65%35% Massenzio
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +443(favors Palhares)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Palhares)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Massenzio)
WelterweightMISS
Carlo Prater won by DQ (R1)
Prater 26%74% Silva
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -82(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
LightweightHIT
Edson Barboza won by KO/TKO (R3)
Barboza 54%46% Etim
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +82(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Barboza)
LightweightMISS
Thiago Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 50%50% Stout
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Tavares)
HeavyweightHIT
Gabriel Gonzaga won by Submission (R1)
Gonzaga 67%33% Oliveira
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +53(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Gonzaga)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Gonzaga)
FeatherweightHIT
Iuri Alcantara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alcantara 70%30% Omigawa
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +186(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Omigawa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Alcantara)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Pyle won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pyle 65%35% Funch
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +252(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Pyle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Pyle)
FeatherweightHIT
Felipe Arantes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arantes 74%26% Carvalho
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -85(favors Carvalho)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Arantes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Carvalho)