UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
Sunday, June 26, 2011·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kongo 74%26% Barry
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Kongo)
WelterweightMISS
Charlie Brenneman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brenneman 26%74% Story
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -437(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Brenneman)
WelterweightMISS
Matt Brown won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brown 41%59% Howard
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -98(favors Howard)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Howard)
HeavyweightHIT
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mitrione 51%49% Morecraft
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +265(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Morecraft)
FeatherweightHIT
Tyson Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 65%35% Gamburyan
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +167(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Gamburyan)
FeatherweightMISS
Javier Vazquez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vazquez 29%71% Stevenson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +11(favors Vazquez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Stevenson)
LightweightHIT
Joe Lauzon won by Submission (R1)
Lauzon 61%39% Warburton
LEAN
→Elo gap: +150(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Lauzon)
WelterweightMISS
Rich Attonito won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Attonito 34%66% Roberts
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -62(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Attonito)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Roberts)
Lightweight
Lentz 31%69% Oliveira
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -687(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Lentz)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricardo Lamas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lamas 68%32% Grice
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +209(favors Lamas)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Grice)
LightweightHIT
Michael Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 64%36% Faaloloto
LEAN
→Elo gap: -85(favors Faaloloto)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Faaloloto)