UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Saturday, June 11, 2011·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Model Record: 12/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Junior Dos Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 78%22% Carwin
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +127(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Carwin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Carwin)
Featherweight✓
Kenny Florian won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Florian 63%37% Nunes
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +386(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Florian)
Middleweight✓
Mark Munoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munoz 54%46% Maia
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Maia)
Heavyweight✓
Dave Herman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Herman 63%37% Einemo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Einemo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Einemo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Einemo)
Lightweight✓
Donald Cerrone won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerrone 74%26% Rocha
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +157(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.1(favors Cerrone)
Lightweight✓
Sam Stout won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stout 57%43% Edwards
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Edwards)
Middleweight✓
Chris Weidman won by Submission (R1)
Weidman 70%30% Bongfeldt
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +152(favors Weidman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Bongfeldt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Weidman)
Light Heavyweight✓
Krzysztof Soszynski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Soszynski 50%50% Massenzio
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Soszynski)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Soszynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Massenzio)
Middleweight✓
Nick Ring won by Submission (R3)
Ring 55%45% Head
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +85(favors Ring)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Ring)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Head)
Featherweight✓
Dustin Poirier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Poirier 72%28% Young
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +85(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Young)
Heavyweight✓
Joey Beltran won by KO/TKO (R3)
Beltran 51%49% Rosa
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -12(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Beltran)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Beltran)
Featherweight✓
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 74%26% Omigawa
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +193(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Omigawa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +20.5(favors Elkins)