UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Saturday, March 19, 2011·Newark, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jones 77%23% Rua
STRONG
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +15(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Jones)
BantamweightMISS
Urijah Faber won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Faber 40%60% Wineland
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Wineland)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Wineland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wineland)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by KO/TKO (R3)
Miller 71%29% Shalorus
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +529(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Miller)
MiddleweightHIT
Nate Marquardt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Marquardt 64%36% Miller
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +257(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Marquardt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Marquardt)
HeavyweightHIT
Brendan Schaub won by KO/TKO (R3)
Schaub 68%32% Filipovic
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +123(favors Schaub)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Schaub)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Filipovic)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Luiz Cane won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cane 31%69% Marshall
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -204(favors Marshall)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Cane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Marshall)
LightweightHIT
Edson Barboza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barboza 73%27% Njokuani
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Barboza)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pyle 47%53% Almeida
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -108(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Almeida)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Split (R3)
Tibau 63%37% Pellegrino
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Pellegrino)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Pellegrino)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Tibau)
BantamweightMISS
Joseph Benavidez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Benavidez 33%67% Loveland
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -85(favors Loveland)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Loveland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Loveland)
Catch WeightMISS
Nick Catone won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Catone 49%51% Philippou
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +9(favors Catone)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Catone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Catone)
FeatherweightHIT
Erik Koch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Koch 55%45% Assuncao
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Assuncao)