UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Saturday, February 5, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 75%25% Belfort
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +337(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Silva)
Light Heavyweight✗
Forrest Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 48%52% Franklin
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Griffin)
Light Heavyweight✓
Jon Jones won by Submission (R2)
Jones 73%27% Bader
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Jones)
Welterweight✓
Jake Ellenberger won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ellenberger 70%30% Rocha
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +206(favors Ellenberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Ellenberger)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Ellenberger)
Bantamweight✓
Miguel Torres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Torres 61%39% Banuelos
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Banuelos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Banuelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Banuelos)
Lightweight✗
Donald Cerrone won by Submission (R2)
Cerrone 43%57% Kelly
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -154(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Kelly)
Featherweight✓
Chad Mendes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mendes 66%34% Omigawa
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +124(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Omigawa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Omigawa)
Bantamweight✓
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 62%38% Yamamoto
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Yamamoto)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Yamamoto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yamamoto)
Lightweight✓
Paul Taylor won by KO/TKO (R2)
Taylor 66%34% Ruediger
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +92(favors Taylor)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Taylor)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Ruediger)
Light Heavyweight✓
Kyle Kingsbury won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kingsbury 62%38% Romero
LEAN
→Elo gap: -8(favors Romero)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Kingsbury)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Kingsbury)
Welterweight✓
Mike Pierce won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pierce 63%37% Robertson
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Pierce)