UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA·10 fights
Model: 7/10(70%)
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Main Card
LightweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Edgar 66%34% Penn
Over/UnderOver 71%
Under 29%Over 71%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Edgar)
HeavyweightHIT
Randy Couture won by Submission (R1)
Couture 77%23% Toney
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +456(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Couture)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Couture)
MiddleweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 54%46% Miranda
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +248(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Miranda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Miranda)
LightweightMISS
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 49%51% Florian
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Florian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Maynard)
WelterweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by Submission (R3)
Diaz 70%30% Davis
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Davis)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Joe Lauzon won by Submission (R1)
Lauzon 78%22% Ruediger
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +333(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Ruediger)
LightweightHIT
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 67%33% Winner
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -71(favors Winner)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Lentz)
MiddleweightMISS
Dan Miller won by Submission (R2)
Miller 49%51% Salter
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -79(favors Salter)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Salter)
WelterweightMISS
Greg Soto won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Soto 26%74% Osipczak
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -275(favors Osipczak)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Osipczak)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Osipczak)
Early Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Mike Pierce won by Submission (R3)
Pierce 73%27% Alves
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +252(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Pierce)