UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Model Record: 9/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Edgar 64%36% Penn
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Edgar)
Heavyweight✓
Randy Couture won by Submission (R1)
Couture 80%20% Toney
STRONG
→Elo gap: +345(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Couture)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Couture)
Middleweight✓
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 65%35% Miranda
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +243(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Miranda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Miranda)
Lightweight✓
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 66%34% Florian
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Florian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Maynard)
Welterweight✓
Nate Diaz won by Submission (R3)
Diaz 76%24% Davis
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Davis)
Lightweight✓
Joe Lauzon won by Submission (R1)
Lauzon 68%32% Ruediger
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +284(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Ruediger)
Lightweight✓
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 63%37% Winner
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors Winner)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Lentz)
Middleweight✓
Dan Miller won by Submission (R2)
Miller 54%46% Salter
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -26(favors Salter)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Salter)
Welterweight✗
Greg Soto won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Soto 33%67% Osipczak
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -184(favors Osipczak)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Osipczak)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Osipczak)
Welterweight✓
Mike Pierce won by Submission (R3)
Pierce 78%22% Alves
STRONG
→Elo gap: +170(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Pierce)