UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Saturday, May 29, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 10/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rashad Evans won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Evans 65%35% Jackson
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Evans)
MiddleweightHIT
Michael Bisping won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bisping 67%33% Miller
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Bisping)
HeavyweightMISS
Mike Russow won by KO/TKO (R3)
Russow 45%55% Duffee
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Duffee)
→Striking volume advantage: -32.9(favors Duffee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.0(favors Russow)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rogerio Nogueira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nogueira 53%47% Brilz
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Brilz)
WelterweightHIT
John Hathaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hathaway 77%23% Sanchez
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -173(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.4(favors Hathaway)
WelterweightHIT
Dong Hyun Kim won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kim 65%35% Sadollah
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +99(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Sadollah)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Kim)
LightweightHIT
Efrain Escudero won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Escudero 54%46% Lauzon
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +267(favors Escudero)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Lauzon)
LightweightHIT
Melvin Guillard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guillard 81%19% Lowe
STRONG
→Elo gap: +144(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Guillard)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Cyrille Diabate won by KO/TKO (R1)
Diabate 52%48% Cane
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -97(favors Cane)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Cane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Cane)
LightweightHIT
Aaron Riley won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riley 62%38% Brammer
LEAN
→Elo gap: -31(favors Brammer)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Riley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Riley)
MiddleweightHIT
Ryan Jensen won by Submission (R1)
Jensen 60%40% Forbes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +47(favors Jensen)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Jensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Jensen)