UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Saturday, May 8, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Mauricio Rua won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rua 59%41% Machida
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -421(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Rua)
Welterweight✗
Josh Koscheck won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Koscheck 45%55% Daley
LEAN
→Elo gap: +52(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Daley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Koscheck)
Lightweight✓
Jeremy Stephens won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stephens 54%46% Stout
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Stephens)
Heavyweight✓
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mitrione 75%25% Ferguson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +82(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Ferguson)
Middleweight✓
Alan Belcher won by Submission (R2)
Belcher 60%40% Cote
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -17(favors Cote)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Belcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cote)
Middleweight✗
Joe Doerksen won by Submission (R2)
Doerksen 21%79% Lawlor
STRONG
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -349(favors Lawlor)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Lawlor)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Lawlor)
Welterweight✓
Marcus Davis won by KO/TKO (R2)
Davis 55%45% Goulet
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Goulet)
Welterweight✗
Johny Hendricks won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Hendricks 49%51% Grant
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Hendricks)
Heavyweight✓
Joey Beltran won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Beltran 62%38% Hague
LEAN
→Elo gap: +261(favors Beltran)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Beltran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Hague)
Welterweight✗
Mike Guymon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guymon 44%56% Yoshida
LEAN
→Elo gap: -179(favors Yoshida)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Yoshida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Yoshida)
Middleweight✓
John Salter won by KO/TKO (R1)
Salter 60%40% MacDonald
LEAN
→Elo gap: -98(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors MacDonald)