UFC 112: Invincible
Saturday, April 10, 2010·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 9/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Anderson Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Silva 68%32% Maia
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +375(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Maia)
Lightweight✗
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Edgar 46%54% Penn
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -288(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Edgar)
Welterweight✓
Matt Hughes won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hughes 82%18% Gracie
STRONG
→Elo gap: +375(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Hughes)
Lightweight✓
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Submission (R2)
Anjos 54%46% Etim
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -230(favors Etim)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Etim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Anjos)
Middleweight✓
Mark Munoz won by KO/TKO (R2)
Munoz 69%31% Grove
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Munoz)
Light Heavyweight✓
Phil Davis won by Submission (R1)
Davis 54%46% Gustafsson
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Gustafsson)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.6(favors Gustafsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Davis)
Welterweight✓
Rick Story won by Decision - Split (R3)
Story 54%46% Osipczak
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -124(favors Osipczak)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Osipczak)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Story)
Welterweight✓
DaMarques Johnson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Johnson 54%46% Blackburn
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -72(favors Blackburn)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Blackburn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Blackburn)
Lightweight✓
Paul Kelly won by Submission (R2)
Kelly 72%28% Veach
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -18(favors Veach)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Veach)
Heavyweight✓
Jon Madsen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Madsen 76%24% Al-Turk
STRONG
→Elo gap: +235(favors Madsen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Madsen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Al-Turk)