UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Saturday, November 14, 2009·Manchester, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightMISS
Randy Couture won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Couture 45%55% Vera
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Couture)
WelterweightMISS
Dan Hardy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hardy 46%54% Swick
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -219(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Hardy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Swick)
MiddleweightHIT
Michael Bisping won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bisping 52%48% Kang
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +254(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Kang)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R3)
Brown 65%35% Wilks
LEAN
→Elo gap: +90(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Wilks)
LightweightHIT
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearson 54%46% Riley
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Riley)
WelterweightHIT
John Hathaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hathaway 72%28% Taylor
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Hathaway)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Taylor)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.4(favors Hathaway)
LightweightHIT
Terry Etim won by Submission (R2)
Etim 58%42% Gugerty
LEAN
→Elo gap: +171(favors Etim)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Etim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Gugerty)
WelterweightHIT
Nick Osipczak won by KO/TKO (R3)
Osipczak 52%48% Riddle
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -105(favors Riddle)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Osipczak)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Osipczak)
LightweightMISS
Dennis Siver won by KO/TKO (R2)
Siver 36%64% Kelly
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -126(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Kelly)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Gustafsson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gustafsson 53%47% Hamman
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hamman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hamman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hamman)
LightweightMISS
Andre Winner won by KO/TKO (R1)
Winner 44%56% Delgado
LEAN
→Elo gap: -122(favors Delgado)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Winner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Delgado)