UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Saturday, September 19, 2009·Dallas, Texas, USA
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Catch WeightMISS
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 38%62% Franklin
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -152(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Belfort)
HeavyweightHIT
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R3)
Santos 71%29% Filipovic
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Filipovic)
WelterweightMISS
Paul Daley won by KO/TKO (R1)
Daley 32%68% Kampmann
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -260(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Kampmann)
WelterweightHIT
Josh Koscheck won by KO/TKO (R1)
Koscheck 73%27% Trigg
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Trigg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Trigg)
LightweightHIT
Tyson Griffin won by KO/TKO (R2)
Griffin 71%29% Franca
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +34(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Griffin)
LightweightHIT
Efrain Escudero won by KO/TKO (R1)
Escudero 59%41% Miller
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Escudero)
MiddleweightHIT
Tomasz Drwal won by Submission (R2)
Drwal 65%35% McFedries
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +177(favors Drwal)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Drwal)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miller 82%18% Lopez
STRONG
→Elo gap: +221(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Miller)
LightweightMISS
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 47%53% Oliveira
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
WelterweightHIT
Rick Story won by Submission (R2)
Story 50%50% Foster
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -55(favors Foster)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Story)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Eliot Marshall won by Decision - Split (R3)
Marshall 58%42% Brilz
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Brilz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Marshall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Brilz)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Vladimir Matyushenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Matyushenko 52%48% Pokrajac
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Matyushenko)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Matyushenko)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Matyushenko)
LightweightMISS
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 39%61% Emerson
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -189(favors Emerson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Emerson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Anjos)