UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Saturday, August 10, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Serghei Spivac won by Submission (R1)
Spivac 63%37% Tybura
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -83(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Tybura)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.3(favors Spivac)
Featherweight✓
Chepe Mariscal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mariscal 68%32% Jackson
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +117(favors Mariscal)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Mariscal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Jackson)
Welterweight✓
Danny Barlow won by Decision - Split (R3)
Barlow 74%26% Veretennikov
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +124(favors Barlow)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.4(favors Barlow)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Veretennikov)
Bantamweight✓
Chris Gutierrez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gutierrez 66%34% Le
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +354(favors Gutierrez)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Gutierrez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Le)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Yana Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 45%55% Chandler
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -199(favors Chandler)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Chandler)
Bantamweight✗
Toshiomi Kazama won by Submission (R2)
Kazama 45%55% Grigoriou
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -127(favors Grigoriou)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Kazama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Grigoriou)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Karol Rosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosa 61%39% Kianzad
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Rosa)
Heavyweight✗
Jhonata Diniz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diniz 45%55% Williams
LEAN
→Elo gap: -122(favors Williams)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Williams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.3(favors Williams)
Featherweight✓
Youssef Zalal won by Submission (R1)
Zalal 67%33% Errens
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +143(favors Zalal)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Errens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Zalal)
Women's Strawweight✓
Stephanie Luciano won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Luciano 59%41% Alencar
LEAN
→Elo gap: -68(favors Alencar)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Alencar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Alencar)