UFC 101: Declaration
Saturday, August 8, 2009·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightMISS
BJ Penn won by Submission (R4)
Penn 42%58% Florian
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Florian)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors Florian)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 71%29% Griffin
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +453(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Griffin)
LightweightMISS
Aaron Riley won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riley 26%74% Nelson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -289(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Riley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Nelson)
WelterweightMISS
Johny Hendricks won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hendricks 47%53% Sadollah
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -111(favors Sadollah)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Sadollah)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sadollah)
MiddleweightHIT
Ricardo Almeida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almeida 57%43% Grove
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Almeida)
LightweightHIT
Kurt Pellegrino won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pellegrino 52%48% Neer
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Pellegrino)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Neer)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Pellegrino)
WelterweightMISS
John Howard won by Decision - Split (R3)
Howard 46%54% McCrory
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -41(favors McCrory)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors McCrory)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Howard)
MiddleweightMISS
Alessio Sakara won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sakara 42%58% Leites
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Leites)
WelterweightHIT
Matthew Riddle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riddle 80%20% Cramer
STRONG
→Elo gap: +96(favors Riddle)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Riddle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Riddle)
LightweightHIT
George Sotiropoulos won by Submission (R2)
Sotiropoulos 51%49% Roop
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +246(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Sotiropoulos)
WelterweightMISS
Jesse Lennox won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lennox 44%56% Villefort
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Villefort)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Villefort)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villefort)