UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
Saturday, February 21, 2009·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✗
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 47%53% Stevenson
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +98(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Stevenson)
Welterweight✓
Dan Hardy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hardy 75%25% Markham
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -33(favors Markham)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Hardy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Markham)
Middleweight✓
Nate Marquardt won by KO/TKO (R3)
Marquardt 69%31% Gouveia
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Marquardt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Marquardt)
Middleweight✓
Demian Maia won by Submission (R1)
Maia 53%47% Sonnen
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +460(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Sonnen)
Welterweight✗
Paulo Thiago won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thiago 41%59% Koscheck
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -431(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Koscheck)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Koscheck)
Lightweight✓
Terry Etim won by KO/TKO (R2)
Etim 78%22% Cobb
STRONG
→Elo gap: +74(favors Etim)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Etim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cobb)
Heavyweight✓
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Santos 61%39% Struve
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +227(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.2(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Struve)
Lightweight✗
Evan Dunham won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dunham 36%64% Eklund
LEAN
→Elo gap: -3(favors Eklund)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Eklund)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Eklund)
Heavyweight✓
Mike Ciesnolevicz won by Submission (R1)
Ciesnolevicz 62%38% Grove
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Grove)
Welterweight✓
Paul Kelly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelly 53%47% Mandaloniz
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -74(favors Mandaloniz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Mandaloniz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Kelly)