UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Saturday, January 31, 2009·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Georges St-Pierre won by KO/TKO (R4)
St-Pierre 77%23% Penn
STRONG
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +110(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors St-Pierre)
Light Heavyweight✗
Lyoto Machida won by KO/TKO (R1)
Machida 45%55% Silva
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Silva)
Light Heavyweight✓
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jones 77%23% Bonnar
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -166(favors Bonnar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Jones)
Welterweight
Parisyan 42%58% Kim
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -281(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Parisyan)
Lightweight✓
Clay Guida won by Decision - Split (R3)
Guida 61%39% Diaz
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -138(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Guida)
Welterweight✓
Jon Fitch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fitch 67%33% Gono
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +403(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Gono)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Gono)
Lightweight✓
Thiago Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 60%40% Gamburyan
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Gamburyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Gamburyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Gamburyan)
Welterweight✓
John Howard won by Decision - Split (R3)
Howard 50%50% Wilson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -78(favors Wilson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Wilson)
Light Heavyweight✓
Jake O'Brien won by Decision - Split (R3)
O'Brien 80%20% Wellisch
STRONG
→Elo gap: +73(favors O'Brien)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Wellisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors O'Brien)
Welterweight✗
Dan Cramer won by Decision - Split (R3)
Cramer 29%71% Arroyo
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +56(favors Cramer)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Arroyo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Arroyo)