UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson
Saturday, January 17, 2009·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✗
Dan Henderson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Henderson 35%65% Franklin
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -339(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Henderson)
Light Heavyweight✓
Mauricio Rua won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rua 70%30% Coleman
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -150(favors Coleman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Coleman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Rua)
Middleweight✓
Rousimar Palhares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Palhares 59%41% Horn
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Horn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Horn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Palhares)
Middleweight✓
Alan Belcher won by Submission (R2)
Belcher 67%33% Kang
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +86(favors Belcher)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Belcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Belcher)
Welterweight✓
Marcus Davis won by Decision - Split (R3)
Davis 66%34% Lytle
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Lytle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Davis)
Welterweight✓
John Hathaway won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hathaway 62%38% Egan
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Egan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Egan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Egan)
Welterweight✓
Martin Kampmann won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kampmann 87%13% Barros
STRONG
→Elo gap: +158(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.3(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Kampmann)
Light Heavyweight✓
Eric Schafer won by KO/TKO (R1)
Schafer 58%42% Mendes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +70(favors Schafer)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Schafer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Mendes)
Light Heavyweight✓
Tomasz Drwal won by KO/TKO (R1)
Drwal 64%36% Serati
LEAN
→Elo gap: -74(favors Serati)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Drwal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Drwal)
Lightweight✗
Dennis Siver won by KO/TKO (R3)
Siver 47%53% Mohr
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -24(favors Mohr)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Mohr)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Siver)