UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Saturday, November 15, 2008·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Brock Lesnar won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lesnar 74%26% Couture
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -531(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Lesnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Lesnar)
Lightweight✓
Kenny Florian won by Submission (R1)
Florian 70%30% Stevenson
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +199(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Florian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Florian)
Welterweight✓
Dustin Hazelett won by Submission (R1)
Hazelett 64%36% McCrory
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +173(favors Hazelett)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Hazelett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors McCrory)
Heavyweight✓
Gabriel Gonzaga won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gonzaga 77%23% Hendricks
STRONG
→Elo gap: +189(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Gonzaga)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Gonzaga)
Middleweight✗
Demian Maia won by Submission (R1)
Maia 47%53% Quarry
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +20(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Maia)
Lightweight✗
Aaron Riley won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riley 45%55% Gurgel
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -58(favors Gurgel)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Gurgel)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Riley)
Lightweight✓
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R3)
Stephens 73%27% Anjos
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +88(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Stephens)
Lightweight✓
Mark Bocek won by Submission (R3)
Bocek 61%39% Robinson
LEAN
→Elo gap: -56(favors Robinson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Robinson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Bocek)
Welterweight✓
Matt Brown won by Submission (R2)
Brown 69%31% Thomas
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +171(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Brown)