UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Saturday, August 9, 2008·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
Model Record: 9/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
St-Pierre 73%27% Fitch
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +151(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Fitch)
Heavyweight✓
Brock Lesnar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lesnar 77%23% Herring
STRONG
→Elo gap: -94(favors Herring)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.0(favors Lesnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.8(favors Lesnar)
Lightweight✓
Rob Emerson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Emerson 60%40% Gamburyan
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Gamburyan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Emerson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Gamburyan)
Lightweight✓
Kenny Florian won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Florian 55%45% Huerta
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +122(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Huerta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Huerta)
Middleweight✗
Demian Maia won by Submission (R3)
Maia 50%50% MacDonald
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -8(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Maia)
Welterweight✓
Tamdan McCrory won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCrory 70%30% Cummo
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Cummo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors McCrory)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors McCrory)
Heavyweight✓
Cheick Kongo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kongo 82%18% Evensen
STRONG
→Elo gap: +93(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Kongo)
Light Heavyweight✓
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jones 64%36% Gusmao
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gusmao)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gusmao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gusmao)
Welterweight✓
Chris Wilson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wilson 57%43% Bruno
LEAN
→Elo gap: -9(favors Bruno)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bruno)
Welterweight✓
Ben Saunders won by Submission (R2)
Saunders 60%40% Thomas
LEAN
→Elo gap: +85(favors Saunders)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Thomas)