UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Saturday, April 19, 2008·Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Georges St-Pierre won by KO/TKO (R2)
St-Pierre 73%27% Serra
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +253(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Serra)
Middleweight✓
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R2)
Franklin 80%20% Lutter
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +435(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Franklin)
Middleweight✗
Nate Quarry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Quarry 48%52% Starnes
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +328(favors Quarry)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Starnes)
Middleweight✓
Michael Bisping won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bisping 64%36% McCarthy
LEAN
→Elo gap: +279(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors McCarthy)
Lightweight✓
Mac Danzig won by Submission (R3)
Danzig 60%40% Bocek
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +105(favors Danzig)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Danzig)
Middleweight✓
Jason MacDonald won by KO/TKO (R2)
MacDonald 67%33% Doerksen
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +346(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Doerksen)
Middleweight✗
Jason Day won by KO/TKO (R1)
Day 32%68% Belcher
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -216(favors Belcher)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Belcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Belcher)
Middleweight✗
Demian Maia won by Submission (R2)
Maia 49%51% Herman
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -58(favors Herman)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.6(favors Maia)
Lightweight✓
Rich Clementi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Clementi 63%37% Stout
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +135(favors Clementi)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Clementi)
Heavyweight✓
Cain Velasquez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Velasquez 54%46% Morris
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Morris)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Morris)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morris)
Welterweight✓
Jonathan Goulet won by KO/TKO (R2)
Goulet 59%41% Hironaka
LEAN
→Elo gap: +64(favors Goulet)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Goulet)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Goulet)