UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Wednesday, April 2, 2008·Broomfield, Colorado, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Kenny Florian won by KO/TKO (R2)
Florian 66%34% Lauzon
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +53(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Florian)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.1(favors Lauzon)
Lightweight✗
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 42%58% Edgar
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Edgar)
Welterweight✗
Thiago Alves won by KO/TKO (R2)
Alves 49%51% Parisyan
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -61(favors Parisyan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Parisyan)
Light Heavyweight✗
Matt Hamill won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hamill 43%57% Boetsch
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Hamill)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Boetsch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Hamill)
Lightweight✓
Nate Diaz won by Submission (R2)
Diaz 56%44% Pellegrino
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Pellegrino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Pellegrino)
Light Heavyweight✓
James Irvin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Irvin 51%49% Alexander
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -210(favors Alexander)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.3(favors Alexander)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Alexander)
Lightweight✗
Josh Neer won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Neer 44%56% Thomas
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -227(favors Thomas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Thomas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Neer)
Lightweight✓
Marcus Aurelio won by Submission (R1)
Aurelio 66%34% Roberts
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +39(favors Aurelio)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Aurelio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Aurelio)
Lightweight✓
Manvel Gamburyan won by Submission (R1)
Gamburyan 64%36% Cox
LEAN
→Elo gap: +148(favors Gamburyan)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Gamburyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Cox)
Lightweight✓
Clay Guida won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guida 80%20% Schiavo
STRONG
→Elo gap: -4(favors Schiavo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Guida)
Welterweight✓
George Sotiropoulos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sotiropoulos 76%24% Mitichyan
STRONG
→Elo gap: -0(favors Mitichyan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -39.1(favors Mitichyan)
Welterweight✓
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 66%34% Speer
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +49(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Johnson)