UFC 79: Nemesis
Saturday, December 29, 2007·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Submission (R2)
St-Pierre 78%22% Hughes
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +31(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors St-Pierre)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Chuck Liddell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Liddell 54%46% Silva
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +364(favors Liddell)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Liddell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
HeavyweightHIT
Eddie Sanchez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Sanchez 62%38% Palelei
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +99(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Sanchez)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Lyoto Machida won by Submission (R2)
Machida 66%34% Sokoudjou
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +233(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Machida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Machida)
LightweightHIT
Rich Clementi won by Submission (R1)
Clementi 55%45% Guillard
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Guillard)
Light HeavyweightMISS
James Irvin won by DQ (R1)
Irvin 45%55% Cane
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -66(favors Cane)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Irvin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cane)
LightweightMISS
Manvel Gamburyan won by Submission (R1)
Gamburyan 43%57% Mohr
LEAN
→Elo gap: -124(favors Mohr)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Mohr)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Gamburyan)
MiddleweightHIT
Dean Lister won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lister 81%19% Radev
STRONG
→Elo gap: +232(favors Lister)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Radev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Lister)
WelterweightHIT
Roan Carneiro won by KO/TKO (R2)
Carneiro 75%25% DeSouza
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Carneiro)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Carneiro)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Carneiro)
LightweightMISS
Mark Bocek won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bocek 47%53% Evans
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -33(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Evans)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.1(favors Evans)