UFC 70: Nations Collide
Saturday, April 21, 2007·Manchester, England, United Kingdom·10 fights
Model: 8/10(80%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Gabriel Gonzaga won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gonzaga 64%36% Filipovic
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Filipovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Gonzaga)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 67%33% Werdum
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +428(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Werdum)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Michael Bisping won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bisping 60%40% Sinosic
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +536(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Bisping)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Machida 66%34% Heath
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -89(favors Heath)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Machida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Machida)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Kongo 86%14% Silva
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +187(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Silva)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Terry Etim won by Submission (R1)
Etim 58%42% Grice
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Grice)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Grice)
LightweightMISS
Junior Assuncao won by Submission (R2)
Assuncao 35%65% Lee
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -50(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lee)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alessio Sakara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sakara 63%37% Valimaki
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -188(favors Valimaki)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Sakara)
WelterweightHIT
Jess Liaudin won by Submission (R1)
Liaudin 60%40% Siver
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Siver)
Early Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Paul Taylor won by KO/TKO (R3)
Taylor 39%61% Oliveira
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)