UFC 69: Shootout
Saturday, April 7, 2007·Houston, Texas, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Matt Serra won by KO/TKO (R1)
Serra 52%48% St-Pierre
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -559(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors St-Pierre)
Welterweight✓
Josh Koscheck won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Koscheck 51%49% Sanchez
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -180(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Koscheck)
Lightweight✓
Roger Huerta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Huerta 74%26% Garcia
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +182(favors Huerta)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Huerta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.9(favors Huerta)
Middleweight✓
Yushin Okami won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Okami 64%36% Swick
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -104(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Okami)
Middleweight✓
Kendall Grove won by Submission (R2)
Grove 57%43% Belcher
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Grove)
Heavyweight✓
Heath Herring won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Herring 72%28% Imes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +113(favors Herring)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Imes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Imes)
Middleweight✗
Thales Leites won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Leites 45%55% Sell
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Leites)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Leites)
Welterweight✓
Marcus Davis won by Submission (R2)
Davis 61%39% Spratt
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Spratt)
Welterweight✓
Luke Cummo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cummo 76%24% Haynes
STRONG
→Elo gap: +100(favors Cummo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cummo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Cummo)