UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn
Saturday, September 23, 2006·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Matt Hughes won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hughes 54%46% Penn
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +205(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Hughes)
Middleweight✓
Mike Swick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Swick 67%33% Loiseau
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +1(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Loiseau)
Lightweight✓
Melvin Guillard won by KO/TKO (R2)
Guillard 84%16% Ruediger
STRONG
→Elo gap: +93(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.4(favors Guillard)
Light Heavyweight✓
Rashad Evans won by KO/TKO (R2)
Evans 63%37% Lambert
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +33(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Lambert)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Evans)
Lightweight✓
Joe Lauzon won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lauzon 67%33% Pulver
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -441(favors Pulver)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Pulver)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Pulver)
Lightweight✓
Roger Huerta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Huerta 57%43% Dent
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Dent)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Dent)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dent)
Heavyweight✓
Eddie Sanchez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sanchez 61%39% Neto
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Neto)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Neto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Neto)
Lightweight✓
Jorge Gurgel won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gurgel 66%34% Abbadi
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +70(favors Gurgel)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Gurgel)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Abbadi)
Lightweight✗
Tyson Griffin won by Submission (R1)
Griffin 38%62% Lee
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lee)