UFC Fight Night 3
Monday, January 16, 2006·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Tim Sylvia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sylvia 85%15% Silva
STRONG
→Elo gap: +218(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Sylvia)
Light Heavyweight✓
Stephan Bonnar won by Submission (R1)
Bonnar 70%30% Irvin
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +10(favors Bonnar)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Bonnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Bonnar)
Welterweight✓
Joshua Burkman won by Submission (R1)
Burkman 64%36% Fickett
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Fickett)
→Striking volume advantage: +11.0(favors Burkman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +41.4(favors Burkman)
Middleweight✓
Chris Leben won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leben 66%34% Rivera
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +178(favors Leben)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Leben)
Welterweight✗
Josh Neer won by Submission (R1)
Neer 43%57% Guillard
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -264(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors Guillard)
Welterweight✗
Duane Ludwig won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ludwig 44%56% Goulet
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +15(favors Ludwig)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ludwig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Goulet)
Welterweight✓
Spencer Fisher won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fisher 59%41% Riley
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +196(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Riley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Fisher)
Welterweight✗
Jason Von Flue won by Submission (R3)
Flue 36%64% Karalexis
LEAN
→Elo gap: +80(favors Flue)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Karalexis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Karalexis)