UFC Fight Night 1
Saturday, August 6, 2005·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 3/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Nate Marquardt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Marquardt 30%70% Salaverry
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -307(favors Salaverry)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Salaverry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Salaverry)
Middleweight✓
Chris Leben won by Decision - Split (R3)
Leben 74%26% Cote
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +296(favors Leben)
→Striking volume advantage: +15.3(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: +9.5(favors Leben)
Light Heavyweight✗
Stephan Bonnar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bonnar 48%52% Hoger
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -170(favors Hoger)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Bonnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hoger)
Middleweight✗
Nate Quarry won by KO/TKO (R1)
Quarry 39%61% Sell
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +139(favors Quarry)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.2(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Sell)
Welterweight✓
Josh Koscheck won by Submission (R1)
Koscheck 80%20% Spratt
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors Spratt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Koscheck)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Koscheck)
Middleweight✓
Mike Swick won by KO/TKO (R1)
Swick 71%29% Ray
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +250(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +18.8(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Ray)
Welterweight✗
Kenny Florian won by KO/TKO (R2)
Florian 37%63% Karalexis
LEAN
→Elo gap: -255(favors Karalexis)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Karalexis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Karalexis)
Welterweight✗
Drew Fickett won by Submission (R1)
Fickett 48%52% Neer
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Neer)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Fickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Neer)