UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2
Saturday, April 16, 2005·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightMISS
Chuck Liddell won by KO/TKO (R1)
Liddell 46%54% Couture
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -53(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Liddell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Couture)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Renato Sobral won by Submission (R2)
Sobral 72%28% Wiuff
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +195(favors Sobral)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Sobral)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Sobral)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Hughes won by Submission (R1)
Hughes 63%37% Trigg
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Trigg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Hughes)
MiddleweightHIT
Matt Lindland won by Submission (R2)
Lindland 58%42% Lutter
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -40(favors Lutter)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Lindland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Lindland)
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
St-Pierre 83%17% Miller
STRONG
→Elo gap: +135(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors St-Pierre)
MiddleweightMISS
Ivan Salaverry won by Submission (R1)
Salaverry 25%75% Riggs
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +99(favors Salaverry)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Riggs)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Riggs)
MiddleweightHIT
Joe Doerksen won by Submission (R3)
Doerksen 52%48% Cote
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Cote)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cote)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Doerksen)
HeavyweightHIT
Mike van Arsdale won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arsdale 71%29% Marsh
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +111(favors Arsdale)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Arsdale)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Arsdale)