UFC 51: Super Saturday
Saturday, February 5, 2005·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Tito Ortiz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ortiz 56%44% Belfort
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -24(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Ortiz)
MiddleweightHIT
Pete Sell won by Submission (R3)
Sell 62%38% Baroni
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Sell)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Baroni)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Baroni)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by Submission (R1)
Arlovski 63%37% Sylvia
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -9.1(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Sylvia)
MiddleweightHIT
Evan Tanner won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tanner 64%36% Terrell
LEAN
→Elo gap: +107(favors Tanner)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.9(favors Terrell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Tanner)
HeavyweightMISS
Paul Buentello won by KO/TKO (R1)
Buentello 34%66% Eilers
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -163(favors Eilers)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Eilers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Eilers)
HeavyweightHIT
Mike Kyle won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kyle 58%42% Irvin
LEAN
→Elo gap: -63(favors Irvin)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Kyle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Irvin)
MiddleweightHIT
David Loiseau won by KO/TKO (R1)
Loiseau 64%36% Ray
LEAN
→Elo gap: +15(favors Loiseau)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Loiseau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Loiseau)
WelterweightHIT
Karo Parisyan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parisyan 68%32% Lytle
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +54(favors Parisyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Lytle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Parisyan)
WelterweightHIT
Nick Diaz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Diaz 70%30% Fickett
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Diaz)