UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Saturday, June 8, 2024·Louisville, Kentucky, USA
Model Record: 9/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Nassourdine Imavov won by KO/TKO (R4)
Imavov 63%37% Cannonier
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -373(favors Cannonier)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Imavov)
Light Heavyweight✗
Dominick Reyes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Reyes 37%63% Jacoby
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Jacoby)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Reyes)
Bantamweight✓
Raul Rosas Jr. won by Submission (R2)
Jr. 67%33% Turcios
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +80(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Turcios)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Jr.)
Middleweight✓
Brunno Ferreira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferreira 59%41% Stoltzfus
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Stoltzfus)
Middleweight✓
Zach Reese won by KO/TKO (R1)
Reese 51%49% Marquez
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -54(favors Marquez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Marquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Marquez)
Welterweight✗
Punahele Soriano won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Soriano 37%63% Baeza
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -168(favors Baeza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Baeza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Baeza)
Lightweight✓
Ludovit Klein won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Klein 60%40% Moises
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +31(favors Klein)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Moises)
Welterweight✗
Carlos Prates won by KO/TKO (R1)
Prates 46%54% Radtke
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -48(favors Radtke)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Prates)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Radtke)
Bantamweight✓
Brad Katona won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Katona 60%40% Butler
LEAN
→Elo gap: -12(favors Butler)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Katona)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Katona)
Women's Flyweight✓
Montana De La Rosa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rosa 59%41% Lee
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Lee)
Bantamweight✓
Daniel Marcos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Marcos 50%50% Castaneda
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -37(favors Castaneda)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Marcos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Castaneda)
Women's Strawweight✗
Denise Gomes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gomes 36%64% Moura
LEAN
→Elo gap: +32(favors Gomes)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Moura)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.6(favors Moura)
Bantamweight✓
Taylor Lapilus won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lapilus 69%31% Stamann
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +0(favors Lapilus)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Stamann)
Women's Strawweight✗
Puja Tomar won by Decision - Split (R3)
Tomar 44%56% Santos
LEAN
→Elo gap: +68(favors Tomar)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)