UFC 46: Supernatural
Saturday, January 31, 2004·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·8 fights
Model: 2/8(25%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✗
Main Card
Light HeavyweightMISS
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 39%61% Couture
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -359(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Couture)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Couture)
WelterweightMISS
Renato Verissimo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Verissimo 19%81% Newton
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -169(favors Newton)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Newton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Newton)
WelterweightMISS
BJ Penn won by Submission (R1)
Penn 36%64% Hughes
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Hughes)
HeavyweightHIT
Frank Mir won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mir 77%23% Sims
Over/UnderUnder 70%
Under 70%Over 30%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +244(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Mir)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Mir)
MiddleweightMISS
Lee Murray won by Submission (R1)
Murray 36%64% Rivera
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -190(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.3(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rivera)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
St-Pierre 30%70% Parisyan
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -224(favors Parisyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Parisyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -11.6(favors Parisyan)
LightweightHIT
Josh Thomson won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Thomson 70%30% Franca
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -187(favors Franca)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Thomson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Thomson)
LightweightMISS
Matt Serra won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Serra 47%53% Curran
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +39(favors Serra)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Serra)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Serra)