UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '96
Saturday, December 7, 1996·Birmingham, Alabama, USA·10 fights
Model: 10/10(100%)
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Main Card
Open WeightHIT
Don Frye won by Submission (R1)
Frye 70%30% Abbott
Over/UnderUnder 72%
Under 72%Over 28%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Frye)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Frye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Frye)
Open WeightHIT
David Abbott won by KO/TKO (R1)
Abbott 67%33% Nelmark
Over/UnderUnder 81%
Under 81%Over 19%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +4(favors Abbott)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Nelmark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Nelmark)
Open WeightHIT
Don Frye won by Submission (R1)
Frye 89%11% Hall
Over/UnderUnder 67%
Under 67%Over 33%
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +311(favors Frye)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Frye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Frye)
Open WeightHIT
Ken Shamrock won by Submission (R1)
Shamrock 71%29% Johnston
Over/UnderUnder 67%
Under 67%Over 33%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +211(favors Shamrock)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Johnston)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Johnston)
Open WeightHIT
Kimo Leopoldo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leopoldo 60%40% Varelans
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -237(favors Varelans)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Leopoldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Leopoldo)
Open WeightHIT
David Abbott won by KO/TKO (R1)
Abbott 79%21% Worsham
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +303(favors Abbott)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Worsham)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Worsham)
Prelims
Open WeightHIT
Don Frye won by Submission (R1)
Frye 82%18% Goodridge
Over/UnderUnder 69%
Under 69%Over 31%
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +421(favors Frye)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Frye)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Goodridge)
Open WeightHIT
Tai Bowden won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bowden 74%26% Nilson
Over/UnderUnder 82%
Under 82%Over 18%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -191(favors Nilson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Bowden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nilson)
Open WeightHIT
Steve Nelmark won by Submission (R1)
Nelmark 81%19% Bossett
Over/UnderUnder 76%
Under 76%Over 24%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -100(favors Bossett)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Nelmark)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Nelmark)
Open WeightHIT
Mark Hall won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hall 88%12% Mitchell
Over/UnderUnder 74%
Under 74%Over 26%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +320(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Hall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mitchell)