UFC 10: The Tournament
Friday, July 12, 1996·Birmingham, Alabama, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Open Weight✗
Mark Coleman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Coleman 25%75% Frye
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -314(favors Frye)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Frye)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Frye)
Open Weight✓
Mark Coleman won by Submission (R1)
Coleman 89%11% Goodridge
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +244(favors Coleman)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Coleman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Coleman)
Open Weight✓
Don Frye won by KO/TKO (R1)
Frye 84%16% Johnston
STRONG
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Frye)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Frye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Frye)
Open Weight✓
Gary Goodridge won by KO/TKO (R1)
Goodridge 92%8% Campetella
STRONG
→Elo gap: -69(favors Campetella)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Goodridge)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Goodridge)
Open Weight✓
Mark Coleman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Coleman 91%9% Horenstein
STRONG
→Elo gap: +263(favors Coleman)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Coleman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Coleman)
Open Weight✓
Brian Johnston won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnston 93%7% Fiedler
STRONG
→Elo gap: -94(favors Fiedler)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Johnston)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fiedler)
Open Weight✓
Don Frye won by KO/TKO (R1)
Frye 87%13% Hall
STRONG
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -32(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Frye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Frye)
Open Weight✓
Sam Adkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R2)
Adkins 58%42% Mitchell
LEAN
→Elo gap: +185(favors Adkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Mitchell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mitchell)
Open Weight✓
Geza Kalman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kalman 69%31% Berto
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -83(favors Berto)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Berto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Berto)