UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Saturday, May 30, 2026·Macau, China
Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%Upcoming
Bantamweight
4.4Strikes/Min2.6
44%Str Acc54%
55%Str Def50%
39%TD Acc35%
Yadong 71%29% Figueiredo
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
Brawler vs Wrestler — Brawler wins 43% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Yadong)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Yadong)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Figueiredo)
Heavyweight
4.4Strikes/Min3.8
44%Str Acc70%
56%Str Def33%
25%TD Acc30%
Pavlovich 47%53% Teixeira
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +403(favors Pavlovich)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Teixeira)
Light Heavyweight
7.4Strikes/Min3.7
62%Str Acc53%
37%Str Def51%
0%TD Acc36%
Mingyang 60%40% Menifield
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -32(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Mingyang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Menifield)
Flyweight
4.4Strikes/Min4.4
47%Str Acc51%
60%Str Def62%
48%TD Acc36%
Perez 46%54% Sumudaerji
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Brawler vs Brawler — Brawler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Sumudaerji)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Perez)