UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Saturday, November 15, 2025·New York City, New York, USA
Model Record: 9/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Islam Makhachev won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Makhachev 65%35% Maddalena
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +275(favors Makhachev)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Maddalena)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Makhachev)
Women's Flyweight✗
Valentina Shevchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Shevchenko 50%50% Weili
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Weili)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Weili)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Weili)
Welterweight✓
Michael Morales won by KO/TKO (R1)
Morales 54%46% Brady
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -183(favors Brady)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Brady)
Welterweight✗
Carlos Prates won by KO/TKO (R2)
Prates 47%53% Edwards
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Prates)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Edwards)
Lightweight✗
Benoit Saint Denis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Denis 49%51% Dariush
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -109(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Denis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Denis)
Middleweight✓
Bo Nickal won by KO/TKO (R3)
Nickal 73%27% Vieira
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -14(favors Vieira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Vieira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Nickal)
Middleweight✓
Gregory Rodrigues won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodrigues 65%35% Kopylov
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Rodrigues)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Rodrigues)
Women's Flyweight✓
Erin Blanchfield won by Submission (R2)
Blanchfield 62%38% Cortez
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +212(favors Blanchfield)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Blanchfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Cortez)
Featherweight✗
Ethyn Ewing won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ewing 28%72% Wellmaker
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -155(favors Wellmaker)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.7(favors Wellmaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wellmaker)
Middleweight✓
Kyle Daukaus won by Submission (R1)
Daukaus 64%36% Meerschaert
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +194(favors Daukaus)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Daukaus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Daukaus)
Featherweight✗
Pat Sabatini won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sabatini 46%54% Mariscal
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -40(favors Mariscal)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Mariscal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Sabatini)
Women's Strawweight✓
Fatima Kline won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kline 62%38% Hill
LEAN
→Elo gap: +25(favors Kline)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Hill)
Middleweight✓
Baisangur Susurkaev won by KO/TKO (R3)
Susurkaev 72%28% McConico
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +86(favors Susurkaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Susurkaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Susurkaev)
Lightweight✓
Matheus Camilo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Camilo 64%36% Borshchev
LEAN
→Elo gap: -28(favors Borshchev)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Borshchev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Camilo)