UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Saturday, March 9, 2024·Miami, Florida, USA
Model Record: 9/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Bantamweight✓
Sean O'Malley won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
O'Malley 65%35% Vera
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +78(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)
Lightweight✓
Dustin Poirier won by KO/TKO (R2)
Poirier 51%49% Denis
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Denis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Denis)
Welterweight✗
Michael Page won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Page 28%72% Holland
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -503(favors Holland)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.0(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Holland)
Welterweight✓
Jack Della Maddalena won by KO/TKO (R3)
Maddalena 67%33% Burns
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -110(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Maddalena)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Burns)
Bantamweight✗
Petr Yan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yan 47%53% Yadong
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -116(favors Yadong)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Yan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Yan)
Heavyweight✗
Curtis Blaydes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Blaydes 41%59% Almeida
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Blaydes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Blaydes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Almeida)
Women's Flyweight✓
Maycee Barber won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barber 76%24% Cerminara
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +107(favors Barber)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Cerminara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Barber)
Lightweight✓
Mateusz Gamrot won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gamrot 78%22% Anjos
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +280(favors Gamrot)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Gamrot)
Bantamweight✓
Kyler Phillips won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Phillips 73%27% Munhoz
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -132(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Phillips)
Light Heavyweight✗
Philipe Lins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lins 33%67% Cutelaba
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Lins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cutelaba)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.9(favors Cutelaba)
Middleweight✓
Michel Pereira won by Submission (R1)
Pereira 63%37% Oleksiejczuk
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +283(favors Pereira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Pereira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pereira)
Heavyweight✓
Robelis Despaigne won by KO/TKO (R1)
Despaigne 61%39% Parisian
LEAN
→Elo gap: +154(favors Despaigne)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Parisian)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Parisian)
Flyweight✓
Asu Almabayev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almabayev 63%37% Vergara
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +92(favors Almabayev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Vergara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Almabayev)
Women's Flyweight✗
Joanne Wood won by Decision - Split (R3)
Wood 41%59% Moroz
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Moroz)