UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Saturday, March 2, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✗
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won by KO/TKO (R4)
Rozenstruik 45%55% Gaziev
LEAN
→Elo gap: +121(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.3(favors Gaziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gaziev)
Light Heavyweight✓
Vitor Petrino won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petrino 63%37% Pedro
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Petrino)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Pedro)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Petrino)
Flyweight✓
Muhammad Mokaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mokaev 74%26% Perez
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +118(favors Mokaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Mokaev)
Bantamweight✓
Umar Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 71%29% Almakhan
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +407(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Nurmagomedov)
Flyweight✓
Steve Erceg won by KO/TKO (R2)
Erceg 68%32% Schnell
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +73(favors Erceg)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Schnell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Erceg)
Middleweight✓
Eryk Anders won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anders 54%46% Pickett
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +364(favors Anders)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Anders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Anders)
Bantamweight✗
Vinicius Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R3)
Oliveira 39%61% Sopaj
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sopaj)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sopaj)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sopaj)
Bantamweight✗
Aiemann Zahabi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zahabi 33%67% Basharat
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Basharat)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Basharat)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Basharat)
Middleweight✓
Christian Leroy Duncan won by KO/TKO (R2)
Duncan 62%38% Ribeiro
LEAN
→Elo gap: +164(favors Duncan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Duncan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Ribeiro)
Lightweight✓
Ludovit Klein won by KO/TKO (R1)
Klein 68%32% Cunningham
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +197(favors Klein)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Klein)
Lightweight✗
Loik Radzhabov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Radzhabov 47%53% Al-Selwady
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -43(favors Al-Selwady)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Radzhabov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.3(favors Radzhabov)