UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Saturday, February 10, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 4/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Jack Hermansson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Hermansson 33%67% Pyfer
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Pyfer)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Hermansson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Pyfer)
Featherweight✓
Dan Ige won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ige 60%40% Fili
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +195(favors Ige)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Fili)
Middleweight✓
Ihor Potieria won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Potieria 59%41% Bryczek
LEAN
→Elo gap: -122(favors Bryczek)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Potieria)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bryczek)
Middleweight✗
Gregory Rodrigues won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rodrigues 49%51% Tavares
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +0(favors Rodrigues)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Rodrigues)
Lightweight✗
Michael Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 44%56% Flowers
LEAN
→Elo gap: +58(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Flowers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Flowers)
Middleweight✓
Rodolfo Vieira won by Submission (R1)
Vieira 56%44% Petrosyan
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Petrosyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Petrosyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Vieira)
Welterweight✗
Carlos Prates won by KO/TKO (R2)
Prates 42%58% Giles
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +10(favors Prates)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Giles)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Giles)
Lightweight✗
Bolaji Oki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oki 40%60% Cuamba
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cuamba)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cuamba)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cuamba)
Women's Strawweight✓
Loma Lookboonmee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lookboonmee 62%38% Brasil
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +185(favors Lookboonmee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Lookboonmee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Lookboonmee)
Light Heavyweight✗
Marcin Prachnio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Prachnio 44%56% Clark
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Prachnio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Clark)
Welterweight✗
Max Griffin won by Decision - Split (R3)
Griffin 45%55% Wells
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Wells)
Light Heavyweight✗
Bogdan Guskov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guskov 42%58% Pauga
LEAN
→Elo gap: +118(favors Guskov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Pauga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Pauga)
Featherweight✗
Hyder Amil won by KO/TKO (R2)
Amil 50%50% Garcia
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +219(favors Amil)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Garcia)
Bantamweight
Marcos 57%43% Aoriqileng
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +246(favors Marcos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Aoriqileng)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Aoriqileng)