UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Saturday, February 3, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Nassourdine Imavov won by Decision - Majority (R5)
Imavov 74%26% Dolidze
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -134(favors Dolidze)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Imavov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Dolidze)
Lightweight✓
Renato Moicano won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moicano 66%34% Dober
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Dober)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Moicano)
Welterweight✓
Randy Brown won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brown 72%28% Salikhov
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Salikhov)
Women's Flyweight✓
Natalia Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 66%34% Araujo
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Araujo)
Middleweight
Khizriev 50%50% Muradov
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -69(favors Muradov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Khizriev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Khizriev)
Welterweight✗
Charles Radtke won by KO/TKO (R1)
Radtke 36%64% Urbina
LEAN
→Elo gap: +9(favors Radtke)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Urbina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Urbina)
Women's Strawweight✗
Molly McCann won by Submission (R1)
McCann 47%53% Belbita
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors McCann)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors McCann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors McCann)
Flyweight✗
Charles Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 33%67% Maksum
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -184(favors Maksum)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Maksum)
Welterweight✓
Themba Gorimbo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gorimbo 52%48% Rodriguez
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -44(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.6(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Gorimbo)
Featherweight✓
JeongYeong Lee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lee 65%35% Bilder
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +132(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Bilder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Bilder)
Women's Flyweight✓
Luana Carolina won by KO/TKO (R3)
Carolina 62%38% Stoliarenko
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -24(favors Stoliarenko)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Carolina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Stoliarenko)
Lightweight✗
MarQuel Mederos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mederos 35%65% Quinones
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +39(favors Mederos)
→Striking volume advantage: -9.9(favors Quinones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Quinones)
Heavyweight✓
Jamal Pogues won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pogues 51%49% Petersen
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -28(favors Petersen)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Pogues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Pogues)