UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Saturday, October 21, 2023·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Islam Makhachev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Makhachev 66%34% Volkanovski
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Makhachev)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Volkanovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Makhachev)
Middleweight✗
Khamzat Chimaev won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Chimaev 36%64% Usman
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -156(favors Usman)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Chimaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Chimaev)
Light Heavyweight
Ankalaev 55%45% Walker
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +341(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Ankalaev)
Middleweight✓
Ikram Aliskerov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aliskerov 52%48% Alves
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +103(favors Aliskerov)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.3(favors Aliskerov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Alves)
Bantamweight✓
Said Nurmagomedov won by Submission (R1)
Nurmagomedov 58%42% Gafurov
LEAN
→Elo gap: +441(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Gafurov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Nurmagomedov)
Flyweight✓
Muhammad Mokaev won by Submission (R3)
Mokaev 79%21% Elliott
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Mokaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Mokaev)
Lightweight✓
Trevor Peek won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Peek 62%38% Yahya
LEAN
→Elo gap: -22(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Peek)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yahya)
Bantamweight
Basharat 66%34% Henry
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -34(favors Henry)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Henry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Basharat)
Middleweight✓
Sedriques Dumas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dumas 77%23% Azaitar
STRONG
→Elo gap: +63(favors Dumas)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Azaitar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Azaitar)
Lightweight✗
Mike Breeden won by KO/TKO (R3)
Breeden 20%80% Jubli
STRONG
→Elo gap: -386(favors Jubli)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Breeden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Jubli)
Featherweight✗
Muhammad Naimov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Naimov 48%52% Wood
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -102(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Wood)
Women's Strawweight✓
Viktoriia Dudakova won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dudakova 75%25% Frey
STRONG
→Elo gap: +292(favors Dudakova)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Dudakova)
→Takedown rate advantage: +25.2(favors Dudakova)
Middleweight✗
Shara Magomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedov 42%58% Silva
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -220(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Silva)