UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Saturday, September 23, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 6/10(60%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
Mateusz Gamrot won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gamrot 48%52% Fiziev
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Fiziev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Fiziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Gamrot)
FeatherweightHIT
Bryce Mitchell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mitchell 55%45% Ige
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Ige)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Ige)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Mitchell)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Marina Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rodriguez 66%34% Waterson-Gomez
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +161(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Waterson-Gomez)
WelterweightHIT
Bryan Battle won by Submission (R2)
Battle 54%46% Fletcher
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +197(favors Battle)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Battle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Fletcher)
FeatherweightMISS
Charles Jourdain won by Submission (R1)
Jourdain 50%50% Ramos
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Jourdain)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Ramos)
Bantamweight
Argueta 26%74% Johns
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -323(favors Johns)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Johns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Argueta)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Tim Means won by KO/TKO (R3)
Means 58%42% Fialho
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +192(favors Means)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Means)
MiddleweightMISS
Cody Brundage won by DQ (R1)
Brundage 33%67% Malkoun
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -496(favors Malkoun)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Malkoun)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Malkoun)
HeavyweightHIT
Mohammed Usman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Usman 58%42% Collier
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +359(favors Usman)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.2(favors Collier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Usman)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Mizuki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mizuki 53%47% Goldy
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +150(favors Mizuki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Mizuki)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Goldy)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Montse Rendon won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rendon 32%68% Vidal
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -92(favors Vidal)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Vidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vidal)