UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Saturday, September 23, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Mateusz Gamrot won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gamrot 55%45% Fiziev
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -33(favors Fiziev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Fiziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Gamrot)
Featherweight✓
Bryce Mitchell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mitchell 52%48% Ige
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -155(favors Ige)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Ige)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Mitchell)
Women's Strawweight✓
Marina Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rodriguez 64%36% Waterson-Gomez
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Waterson-Gomez)
Welterweight✓
Bryan Battle won by Submission (R2)
Battle 61%39% Fletcher
LEAN
→Elo gap: +214(favors Battle)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Battle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Fletcher)
Featherweight✗
Charles Jourdain won by Submission (R1)
Jourdain 49%51% Ramos
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Jourdain)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Ramos)
Bantamweight
Argueta 42%58% Johns
LEAN
→Elo gap: -185(favors Johns)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Johns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Argueta)
Welterweight✓
Tim Means won by KO/TKO (R3)
Means 64%36% Fialho
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Means)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Means)
Middleweight✗
Cody Brundage won by DQ (R1)
Brundage 33%67% Malkoun
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -452(favors Malkoun)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Malkoun)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Malkoun)
Heavyweight✗
Mohammed Usman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Usman 48%52% Collier
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +371(favors Usman)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.2(favors Collier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Usman)
Women's Strawweight✓
Mizuki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mizuki 57%43% Goldy
LEAN
→Elo gap: +116(favors Mizuki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Mizuki)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Goldy)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Montse Rendon won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rendon 30%70% Vidal
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -80(favors Vidal)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Vidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vidal)